Abstract

Inexperienced consumers may have high uncertainty about experience goods that require technical knowledge and skills to operate effectively; therefore, experienced consumers’ prior reviews can be useful for inexperienced consumers. However, one-sided review systems (e.g., Amazon) only provide the opportunity for consumers to write a review as a buyer and contain no feedback from the seller’s side, so the information displayed about individual buyers is limited. Therefore, this study analyzes consumers’ digital footprints (DFs) for programmable thermostats to identify and predict unobserved consumer preferences, using a dataset of 141 million Amazon reviews. This paper proposes novel approaches (1) to identify unobserved consumer characteristics and preferences by analyzing the target consumers’ and other prior reviewers’ DFs; (2) to extract product-specific product content dimensions (PCDs) from review text data; (3) to predict individual consumers’ sentiment before they make a purchase or write a review; (4) to classify consumers’ sentiment toward a specific PCD by using context-based word embedding and deep learning models. Overall, this approach developed in this paper is applicable, scalable, and interpretable for distinguishing important drivers of consumer reviews for different goods in a specific industry and can be used by industry to design customer-oriented marketing strategies.

Highlights

  • In recent years, big data analysis has experienced remarkable growth

  • Without digital footprints and sentiment variables, as in the case of model 1, only the prediction performance of support vector machine (SVM) in the weighted average macro F1 score (WA F1) score is slightly better than that of the econometric model (HETOP)

  • This study finds that all heteroskedasticity ordered probit (HETOP) models containing digital footprints (DFs) and sentiment variables show a higher model fit than the base model containing no DFs or sentiment variables

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Big data analysis has experienced remarkable growth. This growth has been fostered by innovations in computation performance and remarkable successes with artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. In this regard, inexperienced consumers may have high uncertainty due to the required technological knowledge and skills and to changes in the market structure and competition This combination of these factors makes thermostats an ideal subject for studying the utility of online reviews to consumers; thermostats can be technically challenging, are of high importance to a home, and potential buyers have few avenues for gaining experience or information prior to purchase. This study identifies unobserved consumer characteristics and preferences by extracting: (1) users’ and prior other reviewers’ digital footprints (DFs) from user-generated content (UGC) and (2) consumers’ sentiment toward product content dimensions (PCDs) from review text data.

LITERATURE REVIEW
Method*
Fake reviews enhance the uncertainty of consumers
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
EX ANTE PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING
F-score: the weighted average of precision and recall in the following format
SENTIMENT CLASSIFICATION USING NLP
Word embedding
CONCLUSION
Amazon Effect
Findings
10. New York
Full Text
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