Identification of surface water - groundwater nitrate governing factors in Jianghuai hilly area based on coupled SWAT-MODFLOW-RT3D modeling approach

Abstract

A comprehensive understanding of the key controlling factors on NO3-N spatiotemporal distribution in surface and groundwater is of great significance to nitrogen pollution control and water resources management in watershed. Hence, the coupled SWAT-MODFLOW-RT3D model was employed to simulate nitrate (NO3−) fate and transport in Huashan watershed system. The model was calibrated using a combination of stream discharge, groundwater levels, NO3-N in-stream loading and groundwater NO3-N concentrations. The simulation revealed the significant spatiotemporal variations in surface water-groundwater nitrate interactions. The annual average percolation of NO3− from rivers to groundwater was 171.5 kg/km2 and the annual average discharge NO3− content from groundwater into rivers was 451.9 kg/km2 over the simulation period. The highest percolation of NO3− from rivers to groundwater occurred in April and the highest discharge NO3− content from groundwater into rivers occurred in July. Grassland and agriculture land contributed more nitrate contents in river water and groundwater compared to bare land and forest in the study area and the water exchange was the primary driving force for nitrate interactions in the surface water-groundwater system. Sensitivity analysis indicated that river runoff and groundwater levels were most influenced by the SCS runoff curve number f (CN2) and aquifer hydraulic conductivity (K), which, in turn, significantly affected nitrate transport. Regarding water quality parameters, the denitrification exponential rate coefficient (CDN) had the most pronounced impact on NO3-N in-stream loading and groundwater NO3-N concentrations. This study underscores the central role of surface-groundwater (SW-GW) interactions in watershed-scale nitrate research and suggests that parameters with higher sensitivity should be prioritized in analogous watershed modeling.