Identification of Geoeffective Disturbances of Solar Wind in the Flux of Cosmic-Ray Muons

Abstract

The method of flicker-noise spectroscopy is used for remote identification of geoeffective disturbances of the solar wind. The method is based on the study of short-term variations in the cosmic-ray flux that arise when it crosses the perturbed regions in the inner heliosphere. The magnitude of the effect is usually small and it is hidden in statistical noise. The analysis uses data from a continuous flux of secondary atmospheric muons. Bumps of the “nonstationarity” parameter of time series of muons indicate the emergence of advanced signals (predictors) 1–3 days before the disturbances enter the Earth’s magnetosphere. Geoeffective events with a low threshold (Ap > 30 nT) for various types of solar wind are analyzed. The results are obtained using a ground-based muon hodoscope URAGAN (Moscow). The technique can be used for continuous monitoring of space weather.