Abstract

Background: Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is an orphan tumor which has poor prognoses. Therefore, it is of urgent need for us to find candidate prognostic biomarkers and provide clinicians with an accurate method for survival prediction of ACC via bioinformatics and machine learning methods. Methods: Eight different methods including differentially expressed gene (DEG) analysis, weighted correlation network analysis (WGCNA), protein-protein interaction (PPI) network construction, survival analysis, expression level comparison, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to identify potential prognostic biomarkers for ACC via seven independent datasets. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), and time-dependent ROC were performed to further identify meaningful prognostic biomarkers (MPBs). Cox regression analyses were performed to screen factors for nomogram construction. Results: We identified nine hub genes correlated to prognosis of patients with ACC. Furthermore, four MPBs (ASPM, BIRC5, CCNB2, and CDK1) with high accuracy of survival prediction were screened out, which were enriched in the cell cycle. We also found that mutations and copy number variants of these MPBs were associated with overall survival (OS) of ACC patients. Moreover, MPB expressions were associated with immune infiltration level. Two nomograms [OS-nomogram and disease-free survival (DFS)-nomogram] were established, which could provide clinicians with an accurate, quick, and visualized method for survival prediction. Conclusion: Four novel MPBs were identified and two nomograms were constructed, which might constitute a breakthrough in treatment and prognosis prediction of patients with ACC.

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