Abstract
The renewable energy source based generating technologies and flexible demand and storage devices exhibit significant temporal and spatial uncertainties in generating and loading profiles and introduce additional level of uncertainty in network operation. The dynamic behaviors of such a network can be affected and the stable operation may be compromised. This paper proposes a probabilistic analysis approach for the evaluation of the effect of uncertain parameters on power system voltage and angular stability. Load margin, the damping of critical eigenvalues and the transient stability index have been chosen as the relevant stability indices for voltage stability, small-disturbance stability, and transient stability analysis, respectively. The Morris screening sensitivity analysis method coupled with a multivariate Gaussian copula to account for parameter correlations is used for the priority ranking of uncertain parameters. The approach is illustrated on a number of case studies using modified IEEE 68-bus NETS-NYPS test system. The results obtained in this paper reveal that the critical parameters appear as groups if the input dataset is correlated, and, hence even a parameter (which may be uninfluential individually) can have a significant impact on system dynamic behavior due to its correlation with other influential parameters.
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