Identification of carbon responsibility factors based on energy consumption from 2005 to 2020 in China

Abstract

In the process of rapid economic development, the relationship between energy consumption and economic development is close and the coupling relationship is complex. The study proposes a method for the assessment of integrated energy consumption factors. In particular, production and consumption driving factors are expressed in relation to the growth of primary energy consumption responsibility in the energy supply chain system. Specifically, based on previous research, the study builds a LMDI decomposition model based on the primary energy consumption responsibility - embodied energy (PECREE) formula. By analyzing the impact of changes in the final commodity quantity, value-added allocation factor, energy intensity, end-use energy consumption structure and primary energy consumption responsibility conversion factor on primary energy consumption responsibility, the study systematically reveals the linkage relationship between product production and consumption on energy consumption changes, and reveals the related driving mechanism of primary energy consumption responsibility growth. We choose China's energy supply system from 2005 to 2020 as a case study, focusing on the impact of changes in economic sectors on primary energy consumption responsibility, and provide a supplementary explanation from the commodity consumption side. The results show that the change of final use quantity is the most important factor causing the increase of primary energy consumption responsibility, but the impact is decreasing year by year. The impact of energy intensity change on primary energy consumption responsibility is mainly dominated by economic sectors with high energy consumption and high energy intensity. The impact of value-added allocation factor requires systematic consideration of energy intensity of economic sectors. The increase of the proportion of electricity in the end-use energy consumption structure of the economic sector promotes the growth of its primary energy consumption responsibility. The reduction of primary energy consumption responsibility conversion factor for electricity is one of the factors that inhibits the growth of primary energy consumption responsibility. Finally, we believe that while meeting the needs of social development and production and life of the people, China is already on the road of adjustment and transformation of its industrial structure and energy structure, and will continue to make progress in the future.