Identification of ARMA models with binary-valued observations

Abstract

This paper studies system identification of ARMA models with binary-valued observations. Compared with existing quantized identification of ARMA models, this problem is more challenging since the accessible information is much less. Different from the identification of FIR models with binary-valued observations, the prediction of original system output and the parameter both need to be estimated in ARMA models. We propose an online identification algorithm consisting of parameter estimation and prediction of original system output. The parameter estimation and the prediction of original output are strongly coupled but mutually reinforcing. By analyzing the two estimates at the same time instead of analyzing separately, we finally prove that the parameter estimate can converge to the true parameter with convergence rate O(1/k) under certain conditions. Simulations are given to demonstrate the theoretical results.