Abstract

This study aimed to identify and validate a 9-gene signature for predicting overall survival (OS) in glioma patients. Analysis of multiple gene expression datasets led to the identification of 135 candidate genes associated with OS in glioma patients. Further analysis revealed that IGFBP2, PBK, NRXN3, TGIF1, DNAJA4, and LGALS3BP were identified as risk factors for OS, while ENAH, PPP2R2C, and SPHKAP were found to be protective factors. Multifaceted validation using different databases confirmed their differential expression patterns in glioma tissues compared to normal brain tissue. By utilizing LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression analysis, a risk score was developed based on the expression levels of the 9 crucial genes. The risk score showed a significant correlation with OS in both training and validation cohorts and yielded superior predictive accuracy compared to individual gene expression. Moreover, a predictive nomogram incorporating the risk score, WHO grade, age, IDH mutation, and 1p/19q co-deletion was constructed and validated, which exhibited high predictive capabilities for survival rates at different time points. Enrichment analysis revealed the involvement of extracellular matrix-related pathways and immune system signaling in glioma prognosis. Furthermore, the risk score showed a strong correlation with immune cell infiltration and immune checkpoint expression, suggesting its potential role in the tumor immune microenvironment. In conclusion, our study provides a robust 9-gene signature and a predictive nomogram for evaluating the prognosis of glioma patients, offering valuable insights into personalized treatment strategies.

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