Abstract

Researching the methods to identify and predict thermodynamic disasters during deep coal mining is a very important work for the design of mine emergency systems and the decision-making of mine rescue and personnel evacuation, however, existing studies only built static models without evaluating or predicting the development trend of thermodynamic disasters, the research on dynamic modeling methods and rescue decision-making is insufficient, and they generally ignored the mechanism of mutual conversion between fire and gas explosion in deep coal mines. Thus, this paper aims to study the identification and prediction of thermodynamic disasters during deep coal mining. At first, the method for analyzing the thermal field in deep coal mining areas is introduced in detail, and the finite element thermal analysis method is adopted to study the thermodynamic disasters during deep coal mining; then, this paper establishes a thermodynamic disaster prediction model based on the improved Kernel-based Extreme Learning Machine (KELM), and introduces the improved Crow Search Algorithm (CSA) to solve the instability of prediction results caused by artificial selection of model parameters. At last, this paper uses experimental results to verify the validity of the proposed model.

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