Abstract

Abstract. Idealised simulations of Shapiro–Keyser cyclones developing a sting jet (SJ) are presented. Thanks to an improved and accurate implementation of thermal wind balance in the initial state, it was possible to use more realistic environments than in previous idealised studies. As a consequence, this study provides further insight into SJ evolution and dynamics and explores SJ robustness to different environmental conditions, assessed via a wide range of sensitivity experiments. The control simulation contains a cyclone that fits the Shapiro–Keyser conceptual model and develops a SJ whose dynamics are associated with the evolution of mesoscale instabilities along the airstream, including symmetric instability (SI). The SJ undergoes a strong descent while leaving the cloud-head banded tip and markedly accelerating towards the frontal-fracture region, revealed as an area of buckling of the already-sloped moist isentropes. Dry instabilities, generated by vorticity tilting via slantwise frontal motions in the cloud head, exist in similar proportions to moist instabilities at the start of the SJ descent and are then released along the SJ. The observed evolution supports the role of SI in the airstream’s dynamics proposed in a conceptual model outlined in a previous study. Sensitivity experiments illustrate that the SJ is a robust feature of intense Shapiro–Keyser cyclones, highlighting a range of different environmental conditions in which SI contributes to the evolution of this airstream, conditional on the model having adequate resolution. The results reveal that several environmental factors can modulate the strength of the SJ. However, a positive relationship between the strength of the SJ, both in terms of peak speed and amount of descent, and the amount of instability occurring along it can still be identified. In summary, the idealised simulations presented in this study show the robustness of SJ occurrence in intense Shapiro–Keyser cyclones and support and clarify the role of dry instabilities in SJ dynamics.

Highlights

  • The current state of knowledge about sting jets (SJs) was recently reviewed by Clark and Gray (2018, CG18 hereafter)

  • As discussed in the Introduction, a necessary condition for the occurrence of a SJ is that the extratropical cyclone containing it evolves according to the Shapiro–Keyser conceptual model

  • Idealised simulations of Shapiro–Keyser cyclones developing a SJ are presented in this study

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Summary

Introduction

The current state of knowledge about sting jets (SJs) was recently reviewed by Clark and Gray (2018, CG18 hereafter). SJs are coherent air streams in extratropical cyclones that descend from mid-levels within the cloud head and accelerate into a frontal-fracture region. Frontal fracture is characteristic of cyclones that evolve according to the Shapiro–Keyser conceptual model (Shapiro and Keyser, 1990). SJs descend towards the top of the boundary layer (lying above the cold conveyor belt jet for at least part of the cyclone life cycle) and can lead to localised transient strong and sometimes damaging winds if their associated strong momentum is mixed down to the ground. It is difficult to distinguish the SJ from the cold conveyor belt using surface observations alone (e.g. see Martínez-Alvarado et al, 2014, in which numerical model simulations as well as chemical tracer observations were used to distinguish these two strong-wind regions). There are relatively few in-depth studies of SJs in observed cyclones and certainly not enough to allow more than qualitative conclusions regarding the relationship between SJ structure and precursor charac-

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