Hyponatremia as a Marker for Predicting Surgical Intervention in Necrotizing Enterocolitis: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

IntroductionTo investigate the predictive value of plasma sodium at the onset of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) diagnosis in distinguishing surgical NEC from medical NEC. MethodsA retrospective review of all NEC neonates treated at our hospital between 2008 and 2022. Patients were divided into two groups based on treatment methods: surgical intervention and medical treatment. Patient demographics, laboratory parameters, and outcomes were all documented. The values of laboratory parameters were collected at the onset of NEC and after treatment. To identify potential predictors of surgical NEC, multivariate logistic regression analyses were used. The receiver operating characteristic curve was applied to determine predictive factors. ResultsSurgical treatment was performed in 111 infants (44.6%), and medical treatment in 138 cases (55.4%). Of 249 infants with NEC, 22 patients exhibited Bell stage I, 91 infants had Bell stage II, and 136 patients displayed Bell stage III. We discovered that white blood cell (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, and sodium were independent predictors of NEC receiving surgery based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Hyponatremia was found in 122 of the 249 patients (49%). At the onset of NEC diagnosis, hyponatremia was found in 83.8% of surgical intervention group and in 21.0% of medical treatment group (P < 0.001). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for WBC, CRP, fibrinogen, and sodium were calculated. The cutoff values were determined using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The area under the curve of hyponatremia for surgical intervention was 0.875, with 84% sensitivity, 80% specificity, 77% positive predictive value, and 86% negative predictive value, which had a greater specificity (0.80) for predicting surgical intervention than WBC (0.67), CRP (0.50), and fibrinogen (0.70). ConclusionsWhen a surgical evaluation is necessary, hyponatremia can effectively distinguish surgical NEC from medical NEC. It could be used as a predictive marker to guide parental counseling for surgical intervention and rapid transfer of patients to tertiary centers when they have a surgical condition.