Hybrid Warfare or the “Black Swan” in the New Contemporary Societal Context

Abstract

"The current international security situation determined by the new economic, financial, political, military and social context, in terms of the COVID-19 pandemic, is perhaps one of the major challenges that the states have to face in their development and existence. Beyond the concept of consolidated national defence, the need for an alliance and for lifting the barriers between states in the face of the waves of the SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus contamination is a reality which is difficult to characterise. In this context, we rediscover the meaning of terms such as “uncertainty”, “probability” and “knowledge” as well as the “Black Swan” – a highly improbable event, identified by rarity, extreme impact and surprise, which, despite the unexpected, could have been demonstrated predictable. Hybrid warfare – a trend in the international affairs at the beginning of the 21st century is already one of the intriguing topics of many studies on security or of epic writings about “an immediate future”. The role of the military component in the societal network of the interconnected domains becomes a major one, which requires a reassessment of the military specialist’s skills, in an extended situational awareness, on the critical infrastructure protection societal coordinates."