Abstract

The use of intelligent algorithms for global solar prediction is an ideal tool for research focused on the use of solar energy. Forecasting solar radiation supports different applications focused on the generation and transport of energy in places where there are no meteorological stations. Different solar radiation prediction techniques have been applied in different time horizons, such as neural networks (ANN) or machine learning (ML), with the latter being the most important. The support vector machine (SVM) is a classification method of the ML that is used to predict solar radiation. To obtain a better accuracy of prediction data, search optimization algorithms (SOA) such as genetic algorithms (GA) and the particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) were used to optimize the prediction accuracy by searching the model parameters. This article presents a review of different hybrid SVM models with SOA applied to obtain the best parameters to reduce the prediction error of solar radiation using meteorological variables. Research articles from the last 5 years on solar radiation prediction using SVM models and hybrid SMV optimized models with SOA were studied. The results show that SVM with GA presents a better performance than the classical SVM models using the Radial basis kernel function for prediction parameters.

Highlights

  • In recent years, energy generation and transport have become very important issues for the social and economic development of any nation that wants to be sustainable

  • This work compiled and analyzed scientific articles focused on the construction of solar radiation prediction models with a hybrid method based on support vector machine and search optimization algoritms

  • This article presented a state-of-the-art in solar radiation prediction techniques through the use of support vector machine models (SVM) and the optimization of the search for the parameters that guarantee a favorable performance in the accuracy of the forecasting data

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Summary

Introduction

Energy generation and transport have become very important issues for the social and economic development of any nation that wants to be sustainable. Is used for the transport sector [1] The use of these fossil fuels has been one of the main causes of the greenhouse effect on earth [2,3,4]. Power companies must be able to manage energy production to meet consumption at any time [8]. This is why it has focused on generating new techniques to manage energy production, as it is an important factor for a society to thrive economically and without harming the environment by using alternative energies [9]. In order to meet the balance between generation and consumption, it is crucial to predict solar radiation in high-capacity power generation facilities

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