Abstract

Occurrence of extreme natural events raises the need for a quick and accurate estimation of losses on the insured residential property in order to support timely recovery of the area. Although various models are now available to estimate the amount of loss on buildings, there is a lack of models providing a sufficient level of detail and accuracy that can be used for insurance purposes. In this study, a hybrid genetic algorithm-based model for flood loss estimation on the structures of buildings is presented. The proposed model combines the ordinary least squares method, a genetic algorithm, and the bill of costs method, which offers a good balance of maximum simplicity on the one hand and the accuracy of calculation on the other hand. The model considers the geometric characteristics (dimensions and shape) of rooms and is enabled to work with various types of materials and structures, as well as a variable depth of flooding. The results achieved show that in quick loss estimation, the model provides highly accurate results which meet the requirements for its use for the purposes of settlement of real insurance claims by insurance companies. The article outlines the potential automated connection of the model to insurance companies’ information system in order to create a simple building information model (BIM) of the insured property (building’s structures).

Highlights

  • The increasing frequency of extreme natural disasters has significantly affected social attitudes to natural hazards

  • This paper aims to propose a methodology that could serve as a quick and accurate tool for estimation of flood losses to the interior structures of individual residential buildings estimated for insurance purposes

  • A total of 20,160 PEPM items were processed for 6 combinations of variant solutions of used materials on the level of room with different room size groups (RSG) and side ratios (SR)

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Summary

Introduction

The increasing frequency of extreme natural disasters has significantly affected social attitudes to natural hazards. In the case of floods, flood management and related areas have been improved considerably This involves a reconsideration of the efficiency of flood protection systems [1], which can be viewed from social, environmental, and economic perspectives [2], observing trends in flood losses over time [3], estimation of flood losses [4], as well as financing thereof [5]. Despite the fact that the level of flood protection of buildings, infrastructure, and human lives has increased, the risk of major flooding events cannot be eliminated completely. In this regard, Jonkman notes that floods were the most frequently occurring natural disaster in the period from 1975 to 2001 [6]. Recovery is crucial as a delayed start of work may lead to further physical and environmental damage

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