How well do indirect measures assess sexual interest in children? A meta-analysis.

Abstract

We quantitatively reviewed the construct validity evidence for all cognitively based indirect measures of sexual interest in prepubescent children (pedophilic interest) and pubescent children (hebephilic interest) using meta-analysis. Studies were included if they presented scores on a cognitively based indirect measure of pedohebephilic interest for a sample of adolescent or adult males who had committed a sexual offense against a child 16 years of age or younger, or who reported sexual interest in children, and for a comparison group. Studies were also included if they reported on the strength of association between scores on an indirect measure and an independent indicator of pedohebephilic interest in a sample of males. We used meta-analysis with robust variance estimation to summarize effect sizes and metaregression to test potential moderators. Cognitively based indirect measures of pedohebephilic interest showed a moderate difference between pedohebephilic (n = 2,552) and nonpedohebephilic males (n = 2,434), d = 0.61, 95% CI [0.46, 0.76], k = 39. A small-to-moderate correlation was also observed between indirect measures and independent indicators of pedohebephilic interest, r = .23, 95% CI [0.17, 0.28], k = 23, n = 3,623. These effects were qualified by substantial heterogeneity; however, most moderators we tested did not account for a significant amount of heterogeneity. Findings suggest that publication bias did not substantially distort the results. However, the lack of significant moderators suggests more research is needed to understand the conditions under which indirect measures best reflect pedohebephilic interest. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).