Abstract

Many investors rely on price paths to form beliefs about investment alternatives. In a controlled laboratory experiment we strip paths of potential relevant information by providing subjects with full information via a different channel. Our experiment is based on a simple static investment task. The results indicate that subjects are still influenced by informationally irrelevant paths and that this behavior cannot be simply attributed to a belief that patterns from the past will be resembled in the future. We extend a recently proposed model based on a CPT evaluation of price paths' implicit return distributions to accommodate our findings. Additionally, we identify reference point, loss aversion, trend, and spread as important path characteristics that determine how a path is evaluated. In a linear regression model we find support for the different impact of these asset characteristics for historical and simulated future price paths.

Full Text
Paper version not known

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.