Abstract

BackgroundThe retirement of a family physician can represent a challenge in accessibility and continuity of care for patients. In this population-based, longitudinal cohort study, we assess whether and how long it takes for patients to find a new majority source of primary care (MSOC) when theirs retires, and we investigate the effect of demographic and clinical characteristics on this process.MethodsWe used provincial health insurance records to identify the complete cohort of patients whose majority source of care left clinical practice in either 2007/2008 or 2008/2009 and then calculated the number of days between their last visit with their original MSOC and their first visit with their new one. We compared the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of patients who did and did not find a new MSOC in the three years following their original physician’s retirement using Chi-square and Fisher’s exact test. We also used Cox proportional hazards models to determine the adjusted association between patient age, sex, socioeconomic status, location and morbidity level (measured using Johns Hopkins’ Aggregated Diagnostic Groupings), and time to finding a new primary care physician. We produce survival curves stratified by patient age, sex, income and morbidity.ResultsFifty-four percent of patients found a new MSOC within the first 12 months following their physician’s retirement. Six percent of patients still had not found a new physician after 36 months. Patients who were older and had higher levels of morbidity were more likely to find a new MSOC and found one faster than younger, healthier patients. Patients located in more urban regional health authorities also took longer to find a new MSOC compared to those in rural areas.ConclusionsPrimary care physician retirements represent a potential threat to accessibility; patients followed in this study took more than a year on average to find a new MSOC after their physician retired. Providing programmatic support to retiring physicians and their patients, as well as addressing shortages of longitudinal primary care more broadly could help to ensure smoother retirement transitions.

Highlights

  • The retirement of a family physician can represent a challenge in accessibility and continuity of care for patients

  • Existing work suggests that disruption to longitudinal relationships between patients and physicians has been associated with difficulty accessing care [14], emotional distress [14, 15], poorer health outcomes [8], and decreased use of downstream primary care services [7, 8]

  • Most primary care physicians run clinics as independent, small businesses and bill provincial health insurance plans (e.g., British Columbia Medical Services Plan (MSP)) on a fee-for-service basis; alternative models of payment such as capitation are becoming increasingly common in some provinces [43]

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Summary

Introduction

The retirement of a family physician can represent a challenge in accessibility and continuity of care for patients. Existing research suggests that patients without a regular source of primary care are more likely to rely on walk-in clinics or emergency departments [17,18,19]. This has a negative effect on care continuity and coordination [19,20,21,22,23], and access to preventive services [24,25,26]

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