How Is Construction Land Transition Related to Rural Transformation? Evidence from a Plain County in China Based on the Grey Correlation Model

Abstract

Under the background of urban-rural integration, the frequent flow of urban and rural elements has promoted the close connection between rural transformation (RT) and construction land transition (CLT). How is CLT related to RT? By taking the plain area Linqing County in China as the study area, basing the study on the RT and CLT coupling framework of relevance theory, building an RT and CLT evaluation index system, using the multi-factor evaluation method for the evaluation of RT and CLT from 2010 to 2018, and using the grey correlation model to measure the RT and CLT coupling relationship, the results showed that the level of RT was from 0.04 to 97.42, and the level of CLT was from 14.89 to 82.47, showing the trends of gradual increase and fluctuating increase, respectively. Taking 2013 and 2016 as the time point, RT could be divided into the initial stage, growth stage I, and growth stage II, corresponding to the initial stage, high growth stage, and stable development stage of CLT. The coupling degree between the two was in the range of 0.6–0.8 and was in the stage of a medium to high coupling degree. The correlation degree between the subsystem of RT and CLT was over 0.65. In the subsystem of CLT, the correlation degrees between quantitative structure transition and RT and efficiency transition and RT were both lower than 0.65, which were relatively low. Controlling the scale of construction land and taking efficiency transition are the effective methods to guide the deep exploration of potential and are the inevitable way to strengthen the relationship between CLT and RT and promote urban-rural integration development.