How Does Artificial Intelligence Impact Green Development? Evidence from China

Abstract

Artificial intelligence not only changes the production methods of traditional industries but also provides an important opportunity to decouple industrial development from environmental degradation and promote green economic growth. In order to further explore the green value of AI, this paper constructs an indicator of industrial robot penetration at the regional level, based on the idea of Bartik’s instrumental variable, and measures green development efficiency using the improved Super-SBM model. Based on a comprehensive explanation of the influence mechanism, a spatial measurement model and mediating effect model are constructed to test the spatial spillover effect and transmission mechanism between AI and green development. This study shows that (1) there is a significant inverted U shape in the impact of AI on green development; (2) the heterogeneity analysis finds that the structural dividend of AI is more obvious in capital-intensive and technology-intensive areas, which can more fully release its empowering effect on green development; (3) AI can not only directly affect green development but also indirectly affect green development by promoting green technology innovation and optimizing industrial structures, etc.; (4) AI has a significant inverted U-shaped spatial spillover effect on green development, and the development of local AI has a radiation-driven effect on the green development performance of its spatially related areas. The research methodology of this paper can be used for future research, and the results could provide support for the formulation of regional AI applications and green development policies.