Abstract
Self-driving cars promise solutions to some of the hazards of human driving but there are important questions about the safety of these new technologies. This paper takes a qualitative social science approach to the question ‘how safe is safe enough?’ Drawing on 50 interviews with people developing and researching self-driving cars, I describe two dominant narratives of safety. The first, safety-in-numbers, sees safety as a self-evident property of the technology and offers metrics in an attempt to reassure the public. The second approach, safety-by-design, starts with the challenge of safety assurance and sees the technology as intrinsically problematic. The first approach is concerned only with performance—what a self-driving system does. The second is also concerned with why systems do what they do and how they should be tested. Using insights from workshops with members of the public, I introduce a further concern that will define trustworthy self-driving cars: the intended and perceived purposes of a system. Engineers’ safety assurances will have their credibility tested in public. ‘How safe is safe enough?’ prompts further questions: ‘safe enough for what?’ and ‘safe enough for whom?’
Highlights
Foremost among the justifications offered for self-driving cars is that they will offer dramatic improvements in road safety
The promise is based on an assumption that the automation of driving, an activity prone to numerous human failings, will be possible in the short term thanks to rapid developments in artificial intelligence
The first concludes that, if self-driving cars are to demonstrate improved average safety over human driving, they would have to rack up 275 million miles without a mistake
Summary
Foremost among the justifications offered for self-driving cars is that they will offer dramatic improvements in road safety. The 2020 independent expert report for the European Commission on the ethics of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) (European Commission, 2020) recommended that the technology should reduce overall risk, be designed to prevent unsafe use and have clear standards for testing on public roads. These principles offer a strong regulatory ideal, but any approach to governance must engage with a political and economic reality. There is a clear need to include perspectives from other stakeholders and members of the public
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