Abstract

BackgroundBangladesh has been identified as one of the most vulnerable countries in the world concerning the adverse effects of climate change (CC). However, little is known about the perception of CC from the community, which is important for developing adaptation strategies.MethodsThe study was a cross-sectional survey of respondents from two villages--one from the northern part and the other from the southern part of Bangladesh. A total of 450 households were selected randomly through multistage sampling completed a semi-structure questionnaire. This was supplemented with 12 focus group discussions (FGDs) and 15 key informant interviews (KIIs).ResultsOver 95 percent of the respondents reported that the heat during the summers had increased and 80.2 percent reported that rainfall had decreased, compared to their previous experiences. Approximately 65 percent reported that winters were warmer than in previous years but they still experienced very erratic and severe cold during the winter for about 5-7 days, which restricted their activities with very destructive effect on agricultural production, everyday life and the health of people. FGDs and KIIs also reported that overall winters were warmer. Eighty point two percent, 72.5 percent and 54.7 percent survey respondents perceived that the frequency of water, heat and cold related diseases/health problems, respectively, had increased compared to five to ten years ago. FGDs and KIIs respondents were also reported the same.ConclusionsRespondents had clear perceptions about changes in heat, cold and rainfall that had occurred over the last five to ten years. Local perceptions of climate variability (CV) included increased heat, overall warmer winters, reduced rainfall and fewer floods. The effects of CV were mostly negative in terms of means of living, human health, agriculture and overall livelihoods. Most local perceptions on CV are consistent with the evidence regarding the vulnerability of Bangladesh to CC. Such findings can be used to formulate appropriate sector programs and interventions. The systematic collection of such information will allow scientists, researchers and policy makers to design and implement appropriate adaptation strategies for CC in countries that are especially vulnerable.

Highlights

  • Bangladesh has been identified as one of the most vulnerable countries in the world concerning the adverse effects of climate change (CC)

  • The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) clearly states that climate change is contributing to the global burden of disease and premature deaths [9]

  • The northern part of Bangladesh has been categorized as a heat/drought prone area whereas the southern part is defined as a flood-vulnerable area [11]

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Summary

Introduction

Bangladesh has been identified as one of the most vulnerable countries in the world concerning the adverse effects of climate change (CC). Weather and climate affect the key determinants of human health: air, food and water. They influence the frequency of heat waves, floods and storms as well as the transmission of infectious diseases [1,2]. The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated that globally over 150,000 deaths annually result from changes in the world’s climate, relative to the average from the baseline climate of 1961-1990 [7,8]. There is a growing need for a better understanding of the multi-faceted and complex linkages between global environmental change and human health as well as the establishment of an international research community to address such issue [10,11]

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