Abstract

Coastal vulnerability assessment due to climate change impacts, particularly for sea level rise, has become an essential part of coastal management all over the world. For the planning and implementation of adaptation measures at the household level, large-scale analysis is necessary. The main aim of this research is to investigate and propose a simple and viable assessment method that includes three key geospatial parameters: elevation, distance to coastline, and building footprint area. Two methods are proposed—one based on the Index method and another on fuzzy logic. While the former method standardizes the quantitative parameters to unit-less vulnerability sub-indices using functions (avoiding crisp classification) and summarizes them, the latter method turns quantitative parameters into linguistic variables and further implements fuzzy logic. For comparison purposes, a third method is considered: the existing Index method using crisp values for vulnerability sub-indices. All three methods were implemented, and the results show significant differences in their vulnerability assessments. A discussion on the advantages and disadvantages led to the following conclusion: although the fuzzy logic method satisfies almost all the requirements, a less complex method based on functions can be applied and still yields significant improvement.

Highlights

  • At present, the assessment of coastal vulnerability due to climate change impacts is an essential input for coastal management processes all over the world [1]

  • All three methods were implemented, and the results show significant differences in their vulnerability assessments

  • A discussion on the advantages and disadvantages led to the following conclusion: the fuzzy logic method satisfies almost all the requirements, a less complex method based on functions can be applied and still yields significant improvement

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Summary

Introduction

The assessment of coastal vulnerability due to climate change impacts is an essential input for coastal management processes all over the world [1]. The term “vulnerability” is a function of hazard characteristics, the sensitivity of the assets exposed, and adaptive capacity, which all vary by time and depend on contexts such as socio–economic factors [2]. Hazard characteristics define the exposure of the system to phenomena, sensitivity describes how the system is affected, and adaptive capacity defines the system’s ability to maintain its functions. “vulnerability” refers to physical vulnerability, as described above, from the perspectives of disaster management, climate change, and other related aspects [4]. A quantitative approach based on indices is used

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