Hourly forecasting of traffic flow rates using spatial temporal graph neural networks

Abstract

Traffic congestion forms a large problem in many major metropolitan regions around the world, leading to delays and societal costs. As people resume travel upon relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions and personal mobility returns to levels prior to the pandemic, policy makers need tools to understand new patterns in the daily transportation system. In this paper we use a Spatial Temporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN) to train data collected by 34 traffic sensors around Amsterdam, in order to forecast traffic flow rates on an hourly aggregation level for a quarter. Our results show that STGNN did not outperform a baseline seasonal naive model overall, however for sensors that are located closer to each other in the road network, the STGNN model did indeed perform better.