Abstract
“Climate sensitivity” is a parameter used by climatologists to specify the increase in average global surface temperature in degrees celsius as a consequence of doubling the concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide. This value is difficult to calculate, though, because there are large uncertainties in the responses of clouds and water vapor to the resulting warming, and in how those responses would modify Earth's radiation balance. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change range of likely values for climate sensitivity is 1.4 to 5.8°C, although the full range varies from 0.1 to 10.0°C, and the derivations of these estimates make it hard to assign probabilities.
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