Abstract

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in both hospitals and the community. Traditionally, MRSA was mainly hospital-associated (HA-MRSA), but in the past decade community-associated strains (CA-MRSA) have spread widely. CA-MRSA strains seem to have significantly lower biological costs of resistance, and hence it has been speculated that they may replace HA-MRSA strains in the hospital. Such a replacement could potentially have major consequences for public health, as there are differences in the resistance spectra of the two strains as well as possible differences in their clinical effects. Here we assess the impact of competition between HA- and CA-MRSA using epidemiological models which integrate realistic data on drug-usage frequencies, resistance profiles, contact, and age structures. By explicitly accounting for the differing antibiotic usage frequencies in the hospital and the community, we find that coexistence between the strains is a possible outcome, as selection favors CA-MRSA in the community, because of its lower cost of resistance, while it favors HA-MRSA in the hospital, because of its broader resistance spectrum. Incorporating realistic degrees of age- and treatment-structure into the model significantly increases the parameter ranges over which coexistence is possible. Thus, our results indicate that the large heterogeneities existing in human populations make coexistence between hospital- and community-associated strains of MRSA a likely outcome.

Highlights

  • Over the past ten years community-associated strains of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)) have emerged and spread rapidly, accounting for large increases in disease both in the community and in the hospital [1,2]

  • One of the most notorious cases of antibiotic-resistant bacteria is methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), which causes diseases ranging from skin and softtissue infections to pneumonia and septicemia

  • Hospitalassociated strains are resistant against a greater variety of antibiotics, which may compensate for the higher fitness cost

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Summary

Introduction

Over the past ten years community-associated strains of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) have emerged and spread rapidly, accounting for large increases in disease both in the community and in the hospital [1,2]. The maintenance of resistance in the most common community-associated strains, which are characterized by resistance to only a limited set of antibiotics, seems to cause only a negligible reduction in the growth rate relative to non-resistant strains [10,11]. This in turn accounts for its wide dissemination in the community and the assumption that it is more transmitted than HA-MRSA strains [2]

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