Abstract

Prognostic and predictive factors for early and late distant distance recurrence risk in estrogen-receptor positive and HER2-receptor negative early breast cancer are well known, but not all these variables work equally for the prediction. The following are the most widely accepted variables for categorizing risk levels: clinic-pathologic features (tumor size, lymph node involvement, histological grade, age, menopausal status, Ki-67 expression, estrogen, and progesterone expression), primary systemic treatment response (pathologic response and/or Ki-67 downstaging), and gene expression signatures stratification. Treatment guidelines from cancer societies and collaborative groups, online predict-tools, real-world data and experts' opinion recommends different adjuvant strategies (chemotherapy, endocrine therapy, ovarian suppression, olaparib, or abemaciclib) depending on the low (< 10%), intermediate (10%-20%) or high-risk of distance recurrence at least in the first 5 years. Multiple randomized prospective trials were updated in 2022, that evidence allow us to perform a stratification of risk in pre- and postmenopausal women with estrogen-receptor positive and HER2-receptor negative early breast cancer based on a combination of clinic-pathologic features and genomic assays and guide the adjuvant systemic treatment recommendation for those with high risk.

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