Homo-Hetero Pairing Regression Model: An Econometric Predictive Model of Homo Paired Data

Abstract

The study aimed to examine the technical and fundamental hypotheses in NYSE, NASDAQ and S&P 500 stock exchange markets. The main determinants (variables) that were examined were stock trading volumes, closing stock prices and stock information available in the stock exchange market. The 240 days, 197 days and 253 days data of closing stock prices and trading volumes at NYSE, S&P500 and NASDAQ stock exchange markets were systematically collected from June 2021 to June 2022. The data was analysed by using the Homo-Hetero Pairing (HHP) Regression Model. This model was developed to detect the linear and non-linear behaviour of data. The study evidenced that both the technical and fundamental hypotheses in NYSE, S&P500 and NASDAQ stock exchange markets are defined by the inverse and S-curved models in two distinctive pairing classes called the positive-positive pairing (PPP) class and the negative-positive pairing (NPP) class. The study concluded that the optimal prediction of the stock price or return is achieved by the fundamentalists in the stock exchange markets. The study recommends that stock investors should priorities the use of the fundamental hypothesis to make their portfolio investment decision. Moreover, the study recommends the application of the HHP regression model in financial markets, economics, psychology, sociology, and medicine studies. In addition, the HHP regression model is recommended for the prediction of water waves in the investigation of hydrodynamic and erosion-accretion processes