Abstract

In The Lancet Global Health, Alexandra Hogan and colleagues1 report the findings of a modelling study in which they estimate the number of excess deaths from HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria that could plausibly occur as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. They conclude that, in high-burden settings, HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria deaths over a 5-year period could increase by 10%, 20%, and 36%, respectively, and that although the loss of life-years from this knock-on impact will probably be less than the direct impact of COVID-19, in high-burden countries, it could be of the same order of magnitude.

Highlights

  • The Global Fund moved swiftly to support countries in responding to COVID-19

  • In The Lancet Global Health, Alexandra Hogan and colleagues[1] report the findings of a modelling study in which they estimate the number of excess deaths from HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria that could plausibly occur as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic

  • They conclude that, in high-burden settings, HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria deaths over a 5-year period could increase by 10%, 20%, and 36%, respectively, and that the loss of life-years from this knock-on impact will probably be less than the direct impact of COVID-19, in high-burden countries, it could be of the same order of magnitude

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Summary

Introduction

The Global Fund moved swiftly to support countries in responding to COVID-19. In early March, we introduced new flexibilities, allowing countries to redeploy savings and reprogramme up to 5% of existing grants. HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria: how can the impact of COVID-19 be minimised?

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Conclusion
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