Abstract

The regions facing the northern Adriatic Sea are particularly vulnerable to sea-level rise. Several trade ports are located there, and the area is important from social and economical viewpoints. Since tourism and cultural heritage are a significant source of income, an increase in sea-level could hinder the development of these regions. One of the longest sea-level time series in the northern Adriatic, which goes back to the late 1880s, has been recorded at Marina di Ravenna, in Emilia-Romagna region. The record is anomalous, showing a rate of increase that largely exceeds that observed in nearby stations. During the last few decades, geodetic campaigns based on geometric high precision leveling, SAR interferometry, and GPS have monitored the Ravenna area. In this work, tide gauge observations are merged with yet unpublished geodetic data, aiming at a coherent interpretation of vertical land movements. We confirm that land subsidence is the major cause of relative sea-level change at Marina di Ravenna, at least during the period allowing for a quantitative analysis (1990-2011). The rate of absolute sea-level change (2.2±1.3 mm yr−1 during the same time period), given by the difference between the rate of relative sea-level change and the rate of subsidence, is consistent with the rate of absolute sea-level change observed by altimetry in the northern Adriatic Sea.

Highlights

  • Sea-level change is one of the key indicators of global warming

  • During the same time span, in Marina di Ravenna, relative sea-level rose by 216±29 mm, a value obtained by a linear regression of the annual averaged time series between 1990 and 2013 that provides a rate of change of 9.8±1.3 mm yr−1

  • The analysis performed in our work has permitted, for the first time, the simultaneous evaluation of the sea-level rise and of land subsidence in Marina di Ravenna, along the North-Adriatic coast of Italy

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Summary

Introduction

Sea-level change is one of the key indicators of global warming. According to the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global sea level rose at a rate in the range between 1.3 and 1.7 mm yr−1 between 1901 and 1990 [Church et al 2013], with an acceleration of ~0.01 mm yr−2 [Spada et al 2015]. Sea-level rise is mainly driven by the thermal expansion of water masses and by the melting of glaciers and ice sheets [Lombard et al 2005, Plag 2006, Cazenave and Remy 2011], but both factors imply significant local and regional variations [Spada and Galassi 2016]. These are controlled by changes of atmospheric pressure and, in the case of semi-enclosed basins like the Mediterranean Sea, by the forcing exerted from nearby ocean masses driving variations of relative sea level [Umgiesser et al 2011]. Understanding the mechanisms driving sea-level changes is important to promote mitigation measures, when these are possible [McGranahan et al 2007, Nicholls and Cazenave 2010]

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