Abstract

Nitrogen (N) cycle processes in terrestrial ecosystems are highly sensitive to temperature and soil moisture variations. Thus, future climate change may affect the degree to which N deposited from the atmosphere will be retained in forest ecosystems. We evaluated the effect of future changes in climate and N deposition on ecosystem N cycling using the model LandscapeDNDC forced with historical data from eight long-term forest ecosystem monitoring stations in Austria and downscaled future N deposition and climate scenarios. With every 1 °C of warming, annual N uptake in biomass increased by +0.03 to +0.54 kg N ha−1, total soil organic matter (SOM) increased annually by +0.003 to +0.08 kg N ha−1, and mean annual N leaching was between −0.09 and −2.03 kg N ha−1 lower. The magnitude of N deposition in the years from 1990 to 2010 was by far the most important determinant of the response of nitrogen cycling to future warming, including statistically significant relationships with humus N content and N leaching. We conclude that climate change will likely increase ecosystem N retention in temperate forest ecosystems, and even more so at forest sites with high past N deposition.

Highlights

  • Nitrogen deposition has led to changes in carbon and nitrogen dynamics in forest ecosystems (Butterbach-Bahl and Gundersen 2011), causing changes in C sequestration (Thomas et al 2010; Yue et al 2016), increased nitrate leaching (Gundersen et al 2006), increased gaseous N emissions (van Groenigen et al 2015) and the loss of plant species susceptible to high nutrient availability (Dirnböck et al 2014)

  • Nitrogen deposition has led to changes in carbon and nitrogen dynamics in forest ecosystems (Butterbach-Bahl and Gundersen 2011), causing changes in C sequestration (Thomas et al 2010; Yue et al 2016), increased nitrate leaching (Gundersen et al 2006), increased gaseous N emissions and the loss of plant species susceptible to high nutrient availability (Dirnböck et al 2014)

  • By following Lovett and Goodale (2011), we focused on the temporal dynamics of N in plant biomass, N in the forest floor, N in the mineral soil, soil N loss via gaseous emissions (N2O, N2 and NO) and via leaching in seepage water (NO3− and NH4+)

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Summary

Introduction

Nitrogen deposition has led to changes in carbon and nitrogen dynamics in forest ecosystems (Butterbach-Bahl and Gundersen 2011), causing changes in C sequestration (Thomas et al 2010; Yue et al 2016), increased nitrate leaching (Gundersen et al 2006), increased gaseous N emissions (van Groenigen et al 2015) and the loss of plant species susceptible to high nutrient availability (Dirnböck et al 2014). In addition to climatic conditions, N processes depend to a large extent upon soil characteristics, management and vegetation type. Soil properties such as soil texture and porosity can affect N turnover in soils, via their impacts on soil hydrology, N adsorption and soil organic carbon concentrations (Butterbach-Bahl and Gundersen 2011). Vegetation type has major effects on ecosystem N cycling controlling litter quality, root distribution and canopy structure that affect soil moisture, temperature and substrate availability, microbial N turnover as well as nitrate leaching and gaseous N loss (Brumme et al 1999; Butterbach-Bahl et al 2002; Rothe et al 2002)

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