Abstract

Analysis of chimerism in blood post‐HCT using STR‐PCR is routinely applied in parallel with quantification of MRD to predict relapse of leukemia. Real time quantitative PCR (RQ-PCR) chimerism is 10‐ to 100‐fold more sensitive, but clinical studies in children are sparse. In a prospective multicenter study, we analyzed increasing mixed chimerism (IMC) in blood samples following transplantation for leukemia in 64 children. IMC was defined as a minimum increase of either 0.1% or 0.05% recipient DNA between two samples or a ≥10-fold increase. Samples closer than 30 days to diagnosis of relapse were omitted. The risk of relapse was higher in children with IMC of both 0.1% and 0.05% compared to children without IMC (27.8 (95% CI 4.4-175.8; P<.001), and 18.4 (95% CI 2.8-120.5; P=0.002), respectively). From the date of IMC, the 3-year CI of relapse or MRD-positivity was 26.7% (CI 9.4-47.0) and 18.5% (6.4-35.3) for IMC ≥ 0.1% (n=27) and ≥ 0.05% (n= 40), respectively. In the subset of children without an IMC ≥ 0.1% or ≥ 0.05%, CI of relapse or molecular relapse were 16.7% (5.0 -34.1) and 10.8% (3.4 -23.3), respectively. In all cases with a relapse undetectable by IMC, MRD remained undetectable prior to relapse and standard chimerism negative. In a landmark analysis, neither an IMC ≥ 0.1% nor ≥ 0.05% prior to 90 days post‐HCT was significantly associated with an increased relapse incidence. These results indicate that the serial monitoring of RQ‐PCR chimerism in peripheral blood post-HCT may be a valuable supplement to the minimal residual disease analysis for an early detection of relapse in acute childhood leukemia.

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