Abstract

PurposeTo evaluate the potential risk factors for distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Chinese patients following standard intensity-modulated radiotherapy and chemotherapy.MethodsThe potential risk factors for distant metastasis in 622 patients with newly-diagnosed primary nasopharyngeal carcinoma following standard radiotherapy and chemotherapy were evaluated retrospectively by stratification, univariate and multivariate analyses. The 5-year overall survival, distant metastasis-free survival, local recurrence-free survival and progression-free survival rates were determined.ResultsUnivariate and multivariate analyses indicated that N2-3 stage, serum ferritin > 300 μg/L and serum albumin < 42 g/L were independent risk factors for distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (P < 0.001, P = 0.013, P = 0.002, respectively). A risk prediction model was developed as follows: 1) low-risk group: 0-1 risk factor; and 2) high-risk group: 2-3 risk factors. Compared with low-risk group, the high-risk group had significantly lower 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (76.4% vs. 89.6%, P < 0.001), overall survival (76% vs. 85.9%,P < 0.001), local recurrence-free survival (88% vs. 92.4%, P = 0.029) and progression-free survival rates (68.2% vs. 83.7%, P < 0.001). In the high-risk group, patients with three risk factors had the lowest distant metastasis-free survival rate (P = 0.036).ConclusionsCombination of higher N stage, serum ferritin and lower serum albumin levels may be valuable for predicting distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients following standard intensity-modulated radiotherapy and chemotherapy.

Highlights

  • Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignant tumor with distinct regional distribution

  • Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that N2-3 stage, serum ferritin > 300 μg/L and serum albumin < 42 g/L were independent risk factors for distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (P < 0.001, P = 0.013, P = 0.002, respectively)

  • Compared with low-risk group, the high-risk group had significantly lower 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (76.4% vs. 89.6%, P < 0.001), overall survival (76% vs. 85.9%,P < 0.001), local recurrence-free survival (88% vs. 92.4%, P = 0.029) and progression-free survival rates (68.2% vs. 83.7%, P < 0.001)

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Summary

Introduction

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignant tumor with distinct regional distribution. NPC is a relatively rare disease in Europe and the United States with an incidence rate of < 1% It is endemic in Southeast Asia, especially in South China [1, 2]. While the therapeutic efficacy of radiotherapies for NPC patients, with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), has been recently improved following the advance in radiotherapy technology and equipment, the distant metastasis (DM) remains the major challenge for long-term survival [3,4,5,6]. Identification of DM relevant risk factors will be of great significance in reduction and prevention of DM in NPC patients and improving their overall survival (OS)

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