Abstract

We model the effect of the standard high-water-mark provision of hedge funds when the supply of capital is competitive and managerial ability is uncertain.. We find that confidence in a manager’s ability is crucial to the provision’s effect, and this eff ect is to boost the initial fund size, and to depress initial expected returns while increasing subsequent expected returns. We also find that expected returns can be non-monotonic in past returns, higher for somewhat poor returns than above or below, that flows can be unresponsive to performance, and that fund size decreases with the manager’s effort cost.

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