Abstract

High-temperature risk disaster, a common meteorological disaster, seriously affects people’s productivity, life, and health. However, insufficient attention has been paid to this disaster in urban communities. To assess the risk of high-temperature disasters, this study, using remote sensing data and geographic information data, analyzes 973 communities in downtown Wuhan with the geography-weighted regression method. First, the study evaluates the distribution characteristics of high temperatures in communities and explores the spatial differences of risks. Second, a metrics and weight system is constructed, from which the main factors are determined. Third, a risk assessment model of high-temperature disasters is established from disaster-causing danger, disaster-generating sensitivity, and disaster-bearing vulnerability. The results show that: (a) the significance of the impact of the built environment on high-temperature disasters is obviously different from its coefficient space differentiation; (b) the risk in the old city is high, whereas that in the area around the river is low; and (c) different risk areas should design built environment optimization strategies aimed specifically at the area. The significance of this study is that it develops a high-temperature disaster assessment framework for risk identification, impact differentiation, and difference optimization, and provides theoretical support for urban high-temperature disaster prevention and mitigation.

Highlights

  • In recent decades, the trend of global warming has become obvious, and the average temperature continues to rise

  • The study identified different types of high-temperature risk areas, analyzed the influence of built environmental factors and their spatial heterogeneity, and proposed optimization strategies to mitigate the risk of high-temperature disasters, providing planning guidance for the optimization of the built environment of high-risk communities

  • (1) The comprehensive risk of high-temperature disasters in Wuhan is mainly manifested in the following four aspects. (a) The spatial distribution of high disaster-causing danger in the community is very consistent with its surface temperature

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Summary

Introduction

The trend of global warming has become obvious, and the average temperature continues to rise. The frequency of extreme high-temperature events has increased worldwide, and the duration of urban high-temperature heatwave events has become longer under the dual effects of global warming and rapid urbanization. Urban high-temperature disasters consume a large amount of energy and cause great threats to the physical and mental health of urban residents [3]. The annual average death toll caused by the negative impact of high-temperature heatwaves is much higher than that of other extreme weather events [8]. Because of the frequent occurrence of extreme high-temperature events and the great threat to people’s lives and health, many scholars have conducted research on the risk assessment of high-temperature disasters in recent years [8,11,12]

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