High risk of subacute sclerosing panencephalitis following measles outbreaks in Georgia

Abstract

ObjectiveTo describe cases and estimate subacute sclerosing panencephalitis (SSPE) risk following large-sale measles outbreaks in Georgia. A rare, fatal late complication of measles, SSPE is often overlooked in assessments focused on the acute illness. Georgia had 8377 and 11,495 reported measles cases during the 2004–2005 and 2013–2015 outbreaks, respectively, but SSPE burden has not been assessed. MethodsSSPE cases diagnosed during 2008–2017 were identified from hospitalization registries in major neurological departments likely to admit SSPE patients. Information on reported measles cases and deaths was obtained from the national measles surveillance system and published reports. The risk of SSPE (number of measles cases per one SSPE case) was calculated for cases associated with the 2004–2005 outbreak. Crude estimates were adjusted to account for potential under-reporting of measles, using 50%, 25% and 10% estimates of completeness of reporting. ResultsSixteen SSPE cases diagnosed during 2008–2017 were identified. Eleven (92%) of 12 SSPE cases with a known history of measles had infection at ≤2 years and one (8%) at 3 years of age. Crude estimate of SSPE risk for the 2004–2005 outbreak was 1:1396. Adjusted estimates were 1:2792, 1:1:5584 and 1:13 960, assuming 50%, 25% and 10% completeness of reporting measles cases, respectively. ConclusionsThe review demonstrated substantial risk of SSPE in Georgia, supporting recent data suggesting that risk of SSPE following measles infection is higher than previously thought. To prevent SSPE in Georgia, very high timely immunization coverage for measles should be achieved among children, and immunity gap among adults should be closed.