Abstract

Anal condylomas are associated with human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and are a risk factor for anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). To conduct a meta-analysis evaluating the prevalence of anal high-risk HPV, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) and SCC in patients with condylomas. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and the incidence rate of anal SCC were also calculated. Three electronic databases were searched until April 2020. Meta-analyses were performed using random effects models. Pooled prevalence estimate of high-risk HPV (HR-HPV) in anal condylomas was 40.2% (21.0-63.1) in immunocompromised and 16.4% (10.7-24.3) in nonimmunocompromised patients, with an odds ratio (OR) of 3.79 (1.51-9.52, P = 0.005) for immunocompromised patients. HR-HPV in condylomas with HSIL was 73.8% (39.1-92.5) and in non-HSIL cases was 17.7% (9.6-30.2), corresponding to an OR of 12.33 (2.97-51.21, P = 0.001) for those with HSIL. The prevalence of HSIL in condylomas was 24.0% (16.4-33.7) in immunocompromised and 11.8% (7.2-18.8) in nonimmunocompromised patients, with an OR of 2.51 (1.72-3.65, P < 0.001) for immunocompromised patients. The overall prevalence of anal SCC in anal condylomas was 0.3% (0.0-1.7). The SIR of anal SCC was 10.7 (8.5-13.5), 20.1 (14.4-28.2) in men and 7.7 (5.6-10.5) in women. The overall incidence rate of anal SCC was 6.5 per 100 000 person-years (3.6-11.7), 12.7 (9.1-17.8) in men and 4.7 (1.7-13) in women. Patients with a history of anal condylomas have a high risk of anal SCC, especially men. The prevalence of HR-HPV and HSIL in condylomas from immunocompromised patients is high. This information can change patient follow-up and treatment.

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