Abstract

Abstract. Central Asia is located at the confluence of large-scale atmospheric circulation systems. It is thus likely to be highly susceptible to changes in the dynamics of those systems; however, little is still known about the regional paleoclimate history. Here we present carbon and hydrogen isotopic compositions of n-alkanoic acids from a late Holocene sediment core from Lake Karakuli (eastern Pamir, Xinjiang Province, China). Instrumental evidence and isotope-enabled climate model experiments with the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique Zoom model version 4 (LMDZ4) demonstrate that δ D values of precipitation in the region are influenced by both temperature and precipitation amount. We find that these parameters are inversely correlated on an annual scale, i.e., the climate has varied between relatively cool and wet and more warm and dry over the last 50 years. Since the isotopic signals of these changes are in the same direction and therefore additive, isotopes in precipitation are sensitive recorders of climatic changes in the region. Additionally, we infer that plants use year-round precipitation (including snowmelt), and thus leaf wax δ D values must also respond to shifts in the proportion of moisture derived from westerly storms during late winter and early spring. Downcore results give evidence for a gradual shift to cooler and wetter climates between 3.5 and 2.5 cal kyr BP, interrupted by a warm and dry episode between 3.0 and 2.7 kyr BP. Further cool and wet episodes occur between 1.9 and 1.5 and between 0.6 and 0.1 kyr BP, the latter coeval with the Little Ice Age. Warm and dry episodes from 2.5 to 1.9 and 1.5 to 0.6 kyr BP coincide with the Roman Warm Period and Medieval Climate Anomaly, respectively. Finally, we find a drying tend in recent decades. Regional comparisons lead us to infer that the strength and position of the westerlies, and wider northern hemispheric climate dynamics, control climatic shifts in arid Central Asia, leading to complex local responses. Our new archive from Lake Karakuli provides a detailed record of the local signatures of these climate transitions in the eastern Pamir.

Highlights

  • Future climate change associated with anthropogenic disturbance of the Earth system is expected to go hand in hand with changes in atmospheric circulation dynamics (Seth et al, 2011)

  • We found that fatty acid concentrations were relatively constant with depth, suggesting no major change in productivity, dilution or preservation during the late Holocene

  • Most plants contain a broad range of biomarkers (e.g., n-alkanes or fatty acids), but the fingerprints of the different compound classes are often dominated by compounds of a specific chain length

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Summary

Introduction

Future climate change associated with anthropogenic disturbance of the Earth system is expected to go hand in hand with changes in atmospheric circulation dynamics (Seth et al, 2011). In this scenario, certain regions of the globe are thought to be susceptible to severe and likely abrupt changes in moisture delivery and temperature. Naturally driven climatic variability in this region can contribute to a better understanding of the atmospheric dynamics behind those changes, which can in turn help to better predict possible impacts of future anthropogenically driven climate changes

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