Abstract

Since the beginning of the pandemic of COVID-19, there has been a widespread assumption that most infected persons are asymptomatic. Using data from the recent wave of the EPICOVID19 study, a nationwide household-based survey including 133 cities from all states of Brazil, we estimated the proportion of people with and without antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 who were asymptomatic, which symptoms were most frequently reported, number of symptoms and the association with socio-demographic characteristics. We tested 33,205 subjects using a rapid antibody test previously validated. Information was collected before participants received the test result. Out of 849 (2.7%) participants positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, only 12.1% (95% CI 10.1–14.5) reported no symptoms, compared to 42.2% (95% CI 41.7–42.8) among those negative. The largest difference between the two groups was observed for changes in smell/taste (56.5% versus 9.1%, a 6.2-fold difference). Changes in smell/taste, fever and body aches were most likely to predict positive tests as suggested by recursive partitioning tree analysis. Among individuals without any of these three symptoms, only 0.8% tested positive, compared to 18.3% of those with both fever and changes in smell or taste. Most subjects with antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 are symptomatic, even though most present only mild symptoms.

Highlights

  • Since the beginning of the pandemic of COVID-19, there has been a widespread assumption that most infected persons are asymptomatic

  • Population-based studies are relevant for studying SARS-CoV-2 symptoms, because asymptomatic patients or those with mild symptoms may be identified at home, rather than in health service-based studies

  • Symptoms had only been assessed for those with positive tests, and the information was collected after the individual had learned about the test result

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Summary

Introduction

Since the beginning of the pandemic of COVID-19, there has been a widespread assumption that most infected persons are asymptomatic. Using data from the recent wave of the EPICOVID19 study, a nationwide household-based survey including 133 cities from all states of Brazil, we estimated the proportion of people with and without antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 who were asymptomatic, which symptoms were most frequently reported, number of symptoms and the association with socio-demographic characteristics. Among individuals without any of these three symptoms, only 0.8% tested positive, compared to 18.3% of those with both fever and changes in smell or taste. Using data from the most recent wave of the EPICOVID19 study, a nationwide household-based survey including 133 cities from all states of B­ razil[7], we estimate the proportion of people with and without antibodies for SARS-CoV-2 who were asymptomatic. We performed conditional inference tree analyses using binary recursive partitioning to identify which combinations of symptoms were most likely to predict positive test results

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