High-precision retrieval of offshore sea surface temperature: A machine learning framework based on MODIS and in-situ measurements

Abstract

High-precision sea surface temperature (SST) data is essential for monitoring and management of offshore environment. SST retrievals from thermal infrared remote sensing have the advantages in time frequency and space coverage over measurements from ships and buoys. However, traditional SST retrieval models are not fully applicable for offshore waters where seawater conditions change a lot, due to simple functional forms and empirical fitting of model parameters. Machine learning (ML) is introduced because it doesn’t need to define specific model rules or unknown parameters, which is more intelligent to deal with complex retrieval problems in a data-driven way. But the applicability of ML has not been investigated in the North Yellow Sea of China, and the selection of driving features for model construction has not been fully discussed. Here, we designed a high-precision SST retrieval framework based on random forest (RF) with optimal feature combination using MODIS data and in-situ SST measurements during 2013–2020 in the northern part of the North Yellow Sea. The performances of different feature combinations were assessed based on model testing accuracies and the RF output feature importance. Compared with previous ML-based SST retrieval studies, we added two time-related features (i.e., day of the year and month) and one feature as initial temperature (i.e., SST retrieval from split-window algorithm), which reduced the testing error by around 15 % and 11 %, respectively. The retrieval results were validated with in-situ measurements, showing that the RF model achieved better accuracies (R2 = 0.987, SD = 0.842 °C, MAE = 0.675 °C, RMSE = 0.841 °C) than the improved split-window algorithm (named as ISW) and deep neural network. Compared with ISW, the spatial distribution of RF retrieval map exhibited similar variation across four seasons, mainly differed in the coastal areas or at the formation of temperature fronts. Note that the constructed RF model was still reliable when applied to the independent samples in 2021. This study contributes to improve the accuracy of offshore SST retrieval under different seawater conditions and provides references for SST monitoring.