High-grade prostate cancer demonstrates preferential growth in the cranio-caudal axis and provides discrimination of disease grade in an MRI parametric model.

Abstract

To determine if multiparametric MRI prostate cancer (PC) lesion dimensions in different axes could distinguish between PC, grade group (GG) >2, and GG >3 on targeted transperineal biopsy and create and validate a predictive model on a separate cohort. The maximum transverse, anterio-posterior, and cranio-caudal lesion dimensions were assessed against the presence of any cancer, GG >2, and GG >3 on biopsy by binary logistic regression. The optimum multivariate models were evaluated on a separate cohort. One hundred and ninety-three lesions from 148 patients were evaluated. Increased lesion volume, Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA), Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System score, and decreased Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) were associated with increased GG (P < .001). The ratio of cranio-caudal to anterior-posterior lesion dimension increased from 1.20 (95% CI, 1.14-1.25) for GG ≤ 3 to 1.43 (95% CI, 1.28-1.57) for GG > 3 (P = .0022). The cranio-caudal dimension of the lesion was the strongest predictor of GG >3 (P = .000, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.81). The best multivariate models had an AUC of 0.84 for cancer, 0.88 for GG > 2, and 0.89 for GG > 3. These models were evaluated on a separate cohort of 40 patients with 61 lesions. They demonstrated an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.82, 82.3%, and 55.5%, respectively, for the detection of cancer. For GG > 2, the models achieved an AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 91.7%, and specificity of 69.4%. Additionally, for GG > 3, the models showed an AUC of 0.92, sensitivity of 88.9%, and specificity of 98.1%. Cranio-caudal lesion dimension when used in conjunction with other parameters can create a model superior to the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data Systems score in predicting cancer. Higher-grade PC has a propensity to grow in the cranio-caudal direction, and this could be factored into MRI-based predictive models of prostate biopsy grade.