Hierarchical Bayesian Probabilistic Seismic AVO Inversion Using Gibbs Sampling With IA2RMS Algorithm

Abstract

From the observed seismic data, the estimation of elastic parameters and lithofacies of subsurface layers with seismic amplitude variation with offset (AVO) inversion plays an important role in reservoir characterization. The sequential estimation of elastic parameters and lithofacies in AVO inversion usually affect the prediction accuracies of model parameters without considering the prior information related to lithofacies. We propose a novel probabilistic AVO inversion approach in hierarchical Bayesian framework that combines a hierarchical iterative strategy with Gibbs-IA2RMS sampling, to estimate elastic parameters and lithofacies simultaneously. From the exact PP-wave reflection coefficient, we first derive the posterior distribution of model parameters involving a Bayesian hyper-parameter of lithofacies through the hierarchical prior probability distributions and the likelihood distribution of observed data. Based on Monte Carlo Markov chain approximation, we then introduce an iterative Gibbs-IA2RMS sampling to achieve the high sampling stability of the high-dimensional posterior PDF in AVO inversion. The algorithm realizes the adaptive construction of proposal distribution, and has a higher acceptance rate than the generic Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The numerical results show that the approach effectively simulates the posterior distributions and inversion uncertainties of model parameters, and improves the computational efficiency of probabilistic AVO inversion. The applicability and validity of the proposed approach are also demonstrated with a field data application.