Abstract

Individual decision to accept a new idea or product is often driven by both self-adoption and others’ persuasion, which has been simulated using a double threshold model [Huang et al., Scientific Reports 6, 23766 (2016)]. We extend the study to consider the case with limited persuasion. That is, a set of individuals is chosen from the population to be equipped with persuasion capabilities, who may succeed in persuading their friends to take the new entity when certain conditions are satisfied. Network node centrality is adopted to characterize each node’s influence, based on which three heuristic strategies are applied to pick out persuaders. We compare these strategies for persuader selection on both homogeneous and heterogeneous networks. Two regimes of the underline networks are identified in which the system exhibits distinct behaviors: when networks are sufficiently sparse, selecting persuader nodes in descending order of node centrality achieves the best performance; when networks are sufficiently dense, however, selecting nodes with medium centralities to serve as the persuaders performs the best. Under respective optimal strategies for different types of networks, we further probe which centrality measure is most suitable for persuader selection. It turns out that for the first regime, degree centrality offers the best measure for picking out persuaders from homogeneous networks; while in heterogeneous networks, betweenness centrality takes its place. In the second regime, there is no significant difference caused by centrality measures in persuader selection for homogeneous network; while for heterogeneous networks, closeness centrality offers the best measure.

Highlights

  • In many complex systems, small initial shocks can cascade to affect or disrupt the systems under certain circumstances

  • We classify the acceptance of an entity as due to self-adoption and others’ persuasion, which can be simulated by the (φ, φ0)-threshold model

  • The adoption mechanism has stimulated a rapid acceleration of research work, little attention has been paid to the persuasion mechanism

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Summary

Introduction

Small initial shocks can cascade to affect or disrupt the systems under certain circumstances. Examples include the diffusion of cultural fads [1], the outbreak of political unrest [2], and the spread of rumors [3], etc. These phenomena can be studied by contagion models [4, 5], in which inactive (or susceptible) individuals are activated (or infected) by contacts with active neighbors. Of particular importance is the threshold model, which originated from the seminal work of Schelling [6] on residential segregation, and subsequently was developed by Granovetter [7] in the study of social influences. The name of PLOS ONE | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0169771 January 10, 2017

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