Heterogeneous response of diatom assemblages since ca. 1945 in lakes from boreal regions of northern Alberta and Saskatchewan, Canada

Abstract

The degree to which climate variability and anthropogenic stressors have impacted the rich array of boreal lakes in northern Saskatchewan and Alberta was explored in a dataset of 42 lakes from previous paleolimnological investigations of this region. This dataset was used to evaluate the extent of change in diatom assemblages over the past ~ 60 to 70 years in relation to lake and watershed characteristics. Similarity analysis was used to define the degree of change in diatom composition in lake sediment cores from each lake with a focus on post ca. 1945 changes to establish a common time frame to compare across all lakes. This time frame incorporates pre- and post-development of the Athabasca Oil Sands Region and additionally integrates pre- and post-periods of distinct changes in temperature and precipitation. Beta regression analysis was used to identify potential links between diatom assemblage change and lake physical–chemical and landscape characteristics (limno and landscape models, respectively). Similarity analysis indicated nearly 80% of the lakes showed only a very low degree of change (0–25%) since ca. 1945. Lakes with larger percent change in similarity (> 25%) showed increases in planktonic diatoms, although the specific taxa that changed varied from oligotrophic Discostella spp. to meso-eutrophic taxa, such as Asterionella formosa and Stephanodiscus minutulus. Lake volume and percent peat in the catchment were the most important limno and landscape explanatory variables, respectively, albeit the models had low predictive power. The lakes with large diatom compositional change were dispersed across the region, located in various geological and ecological zones and varying degrees of human disturbance. The interplay of climate and morphometric features of lakes is likely an influential driver of these changes, with larger heat-storage capacity in higher-volume lakes that potentially increases the sensitivity to warming. The small surface areas and shallow morphometry of most lakes, a heterogeneous hydrological and geological landscape, and frequent dominance of diatom assemblages by benthic generalists may explain the minimal responses of diatom assemblages over the past ~ 70 years to anthropogenic influences and climate.