Abstract
With the steady growth of CO2 emissions embedded in trade, the driving forces of emissions have attracted extensive attention. Most of the literature has verified a bundle of the influential factors; however, further analyses are necessary to understand the predominant and heterogeneous driving factors in different economies and/or industries. Accordingly, by applying the multiregional input–output (MRIO) model, this article firstly evaluates the embodied carbon emissions of China’s export from 1992 to 2020 in total volumes and by 14 industries. Then, the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) estimations allow us to discover that urbanization, technology update and gross domestic product (GDP) are the leading three prioritizing factors in generating China’s export emissions. Interestingly, this paper discovers that raising the proportion of female parliamentarians contributes to an abatement of emissions. Furthermore, the empirical results suggest that the heterogeneities of those factors do exist among industries. For example, the percentage of females in parliaments turns out to have a larger effect among labor-intensive industries only. In facing with rapid globalization and economic development of China, this paper provides important policy implications towards specific industries in terms of mitigating trade emissions. It guides policy-makers to achieve “carbon neutrality” by avoiding carbon leakage in net-export countries such as China.
Highlights
The rapid growth of international trade has promoted the global demand for energy consumption, which in turn has contributed to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
The carbon emissions embedded in export from 1992 to 2020 are calculated based on the following three data sources: multiregional input–output tables of China which were extracted from the World Input–Output Data
By applying the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) models, this article is capable of further analyzing the predominant factors and identifying industrial heterogeneities in determining the export embodied carbon emissions of China
Summary
The rapid growth of international trade has promoted the global demand for energy consumption, which in turn has contributed to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Thereby, it is necessary to advance the understanding of export carbon emissions and their trend, and further, explore the priority and heterogeneity of the influencing factors both at the country and industry levels On this basis, this article attempts to figure out the following research concerns: first, this article will evaluate the trends of the total and sub-industry embodied carbon emissions in China’s export over the past three decades. This article attempts to figure out the following research concerns: first, this article will evaluate the trends of the total and sub-industry embodied carbon emissions in China’s export over the past three decades It will examine the predominant driving factors of the total emissions in export and their heterogeneities across the industries and high-/low-carbon sectors . This study innovatively adopts the LASSO model to explore the predominant and heterogeneous driving factors of China’s carbon emissions embedded in the export of total volume and by industry.
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