Abstract

Objectives Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is observing an accelerating prevalence rate of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) influenced by gene-environment interaction of modifiable and nonmodifiable factors. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis on the heritability and genetic risk of T2DM in SSA. Methods We reviewed all published articles on T2DM in SSA between January 2000 and December 2019 and available in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science. Studies that reported on the genetics and/or heritability of T2DM or indicators of glycaemia were included. Data extracted included the study design, records of family history, pattern and characteristics of inheritance, genetic determinants, and effects estimates. Results The pattern and characteristics of T2DM heritability in SSA are preference for maternal aggregation, higher among first degree compared to second-degree relatives; early age-onset (<50 years), and inherited abnormalities of beta-cell function/mass. The overall prevalence of T2DM was 28.2% for the population with a positive family history (PFH) and 11.2% for the population with negative family history (NFH). The pooled odds ratio of the impact of PFH on T2DM was 3.29 (95% CI: 2.40-4.52). Overall, 28 polymorphisms in 17 genes have been investigated in relation with T2DM in SSA. Almost all studies used the candidate gene approach with most (45.8%) of genetic studies published between 2011 and 2015. Polymorphisms in ABCC8, Haptoglobin, KCNJ11, ACDC, ENPP1, TNF-α, and TCF7L2 were found to be associated with T2DM, with overlapping effect on specific cardiometabolic traits. Genome-wide studies identified ancestry-specific signals (AGMO-rs73284431, VT11A-rs17746147, and ZRANB3) and TCF7L2-rs7903146 as the only transferable genetic risk variants to SSA population. TCF7L2-rs7903146 polymorphism was investigated in multiple studies with consistent effects and low-moderate statistical heterogeneity. Effect sizes were modestly strong [odds ratio = 6.17 (95% CI: 2.03-18.81), codominant model; 2.27 (95% CI: 1.50-3.44), additive model; 1.75 (95% CI: 1.18-2.59), recessive model]. Current evidence on the heritability and genetic markers of T2DM in SSA populations is limited and largely insufficient to reliably inform the genetic architecture of T2DM across SSA regions.

Highlights

  • Studies on chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) have gained considerable attention in Africa. This is as a result of the dramatic shift in the profile of diseases burden with the dominance of communicable diseases to NCDs in SubSaharan Africa (SSA) [1]

  • Between the periods of 1990 and 2017, NCDs have accounted for a 67% increase in disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) in SSA, and type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) accounted for 126% increase in DALY [3]

  • Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines [22] and the protocol for conducting a systematic review for genetic association studies [23], we conducted a systematic review of all papers published on T2DM in Sub-Saharan Africa between January 2000 and November 2019 and available on PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science

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Summary

Introduction

Studies on chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) have gained considerable attention in Africa. This is as a result of the dramatic shift in the profile of diseases burden with the dominance of communicable diseases to NCDs in SubSaharan Africa (SSA) [1]. Africa constitutes the highest proportion of people with undiagnosed diabetes (>50%) and has been projected to experience further future increase (>100%). Between the periods of 1990 and 2017, NCDs have accounted for a 67% increase in disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) in SSA, and type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) accounted for 126% increase in DALY [3]. Between 1990 and 2015, T2DM has accounted for 7% mortality rate attributed to NCDs in SSA [6]

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