Abstract

Pancreatic cancer activates coagulation and increases risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). We aimed at characterizing the association of hemostatic biomarkers and VTE with mortality and chemotherapy response. Pancreatic cancer patients (N=145) were included in a prospective, observational cohort study (CATS [Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study]). Hemostatic biomarkers (D-dimer, extracellular vesicle-tissue factor activity, prothrombin fragment 1+2, fibrinogen, factor VIII, PAI-1 [plasminogen activator inhibitor 1], sP-selectin [soluble P-selectin], thrombin generation assay) were measured at inclusion. The impact of VTE on overall survival/progression-free survival (OS/PFS) was evaluated by multistate modeling. The association of biomarkers with OS was analyzed by Cox-regression and with PFS and disease control rate in patients initiating palliative chemotherapy (n=95) by Cox-regression and logistic regression. Multivariable analysis included stage, grade, sex, age, performance status, VTE (time-dependent), vascular infiltration/compression, and tumor marker levels (carbohydrate-antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen). VTE occurrence was associated with shorter OS (transition hazard ratio, 3.40 [95% CI, 2.05-5.64]) and shorter PFS (transition hazard ratio, 2.10 [1.16-3.79]). Median post-VTE OS/PFS in months was 5.5 [2.2-6.5] and 3.0 [1.5-3.9], compared with 13.4 [9.7-16.6] and 7.5 [5.9-9.8] in patients without VTE (both P<0.001). D-dimer, extracellular vesicle-tissue factor activity, PAI-1, and sP-selectin were associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio per doubling, 1.27 [1.00-1.61]; 1.63 [1.14-2.36]; 1.25 [1.06-1.47]; 1.52 [1.05-2.20]). In patients initiating palliative chemotherapy, higher D-dimer predicted shorter PFS (hazard ratio per doubling, 1.27 [1.01-1.60]) and lower disease control rate (odds ratio per doubling, 0.59 [0.36-0.98]). VTE diagnosis is associated with shorter OS and PFS. Higher baseline levels of D-dimer, extracellular vesicle-tissue factor activity, PAI-1, and sP-selectin were independently prognostic for increased mortality, and D-dimer predicted response to palliative chemotherapy.

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