Heart rate/temperature ratio: A practical prognostic indicator for critically ill patients with sepsis

Abstract

BackgroundWe hypothesize that the heart rate/temperature ratio can predict intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in critical ill patients with sepsis. We aimed to explore the association between the heart rate/temperature ratio and ICU mortality in patients with sepsis. MethodsWe conducted this study utilizing a comprehensive critical care medicine database. The primary endpoint assessed was ICU mortality. A multivariable logistic regression model was employed to determine the independent impact of the heart rate to temperature ratio on ICU mortality. ResultsThe study included 12,321 patients. A nonlinear relationship was observed between the heart rate/temperature ratio and ICU mortality, with an inflection point identified at 2.22. The results from the Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the heart rate/temperature ratio independently contributed to the risk of ICU mortality. In model II, there was a 55 % higher ICU mortality rate with a heart rate/temperature ratio greater than 2.22 than with that less than 2.22 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.55, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.35–1.77). Moreover, an elevated heart rate/temperature ratio as a continuous variable showed a positive association with ICU mortality (OR = 2.14; 95 % CI: 1.87–2.45). The impact of the heart rate/temperature ratio on ICU mortality remained consistent across all subgroup variables. The sensitivity analysis results consistently supported the primary outcome, with an E value of 2.47. This suggests that the influence of unmeasured confounders on the observed outcomes was minimal, thereby confirming the robustness of the findings. ConclusionsThe heart rate/temperature ratio is a readily available and convenient indicator in a clinical setting. Elevated heart rate/temperature ratios, particularly those exceeding 2.22, are strongly linked to a high ICU mortality rate among critically ill sepsis patients.