Heart girth best predicts live weights of market-age pigs in Tanzania.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to use linear body measurements to develop and validate a regression-based model for prediction of live weights (LW) of pigs reared under smallholder settings in rural areas in the southern highlands of Tanzania. LW of 400 pigs (range 7 to 91 kg) was measured, along with their heart girths (HG) and body lengths (BL). BL was measured from the midpoint between the ears to the tail base. HG was measured as chest circumference just behind the front legs. LW was determined using a portable hanging scale. An analysis of covariance was performed to test for differences in LW between male and female pigs, including age, HG and BL as covariates. LW was regressed on HG and BL using simple and multiple linear regressions. Models were developed for all pig ages, and separately for market/breeding-age pigs and those below market/breeding age. Model validation was done using a split-samples approach, followed by PRESS-related statistics. Model efficiency and accuracy were assessed using the coefficient of determination, R2, and standard deviation of the random error, respectively. Model stability was determined by assessing 'shrinkage' of R2 value. Results showed that HG was the best predictor of LW in market/breeding-age pigs (model equation: LW = 1.22HG-52.384; R2 = 0.94, error = 3.7). BL, age and sex of pigs did not influence LW estimates. It is expected that LW estimation tools will be developed to enable more accurate estimation of LW in the pig value chain in the area.