Abstract
Frailty is associated with increased risk of various health conditions, disability, and death. Health behaviors are thought to be a potential target for frailty prevention, but the evidence from previous studies is based on older populations with short follow-ups, making results susceptible to reverse causation bias. We examined the associations of healthy behaviors at age 50, singly and in combination, as well as 10-year change in the number of healthy behaviors over midlife with future risk of frailty. In this prospective cohort study of 6,357 (29.2% women; 91.7% white) participants from the British Whitehall II cohort, healthy behaviors-nonsmoking, moderate alcohol consumption, ≥2.5 hours per week of moderate to vigorous physical activity, and consumption of fruits or vegetables at least twice a day-were measured at age 50, and change in behaviors was measured between 1985 (mean age = 44.4) and 1997 (mean age = 54.8). Fried's frailty phenotype was assessed in clinical examinations in 2002, 2007, 2012, and 2015. Participants were classified as frail if they had ≥3 of the following criteria: slow walking speed, low grip strength, weight loss, exhaustion, and low physical activity. An illness-death model accounting for both competing risk of death and interval censoring was used to examine the association between healthy behaviors and risk of frailty. Over an average follow-up of 20.4 years (standard deviation, 5.9), 445 participants developed frailty. Each healthy behavior at age 50 was associated with lower risk of incident frailty: hazard ratio (HR) after adjustment for other health behaviors and baseline characteristics 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44-0.71; p < 0.001) in nonsmokers, 0.73 (95% CI 0.61-0.88; p < 0.001) for moderate alcohol consumption, 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.81; p < 0.001) for ≥2.5 hours of physical activity per week, and 0.76 (95% CI 0.59-0.98; p = 0.03) for consumption of fruits or vegetables at least twice a day. A greater number of healthy behaviors was associated with reduced risk of frailty, with the HR for each additional healthy behavior being 0.69 (95% CI 0.62-0.76; p < 0.001) and the HR for having all versus no healthy behaviors at age 50 being 0.28 (95% CI 0.15-0.52; p < 0.001). Among participants with no or 1 healthy behavior in 1985, those who increased the number of healthy behaviors by 1997 were at a lower risk of frailty (mean follow-up = 16 years) compared with those with no such increase: the HR was 0.64 (95% CI 0.44-0.94; p = 0.02) for change to 2 healthy behaviors and 0.57 (95% CI 0.38-0.87; p < 0.001) for change to 3-4 healthy behaviors in 1997. The primary limitation of this study is potential selection bias during the follow-up due to missing data on frailty components. Our findings suggest that healthy behaviors at age 50, as well as improvements in behaviors over midlife, are associated with a lower risk of frailty later in life. Their benefit accumulates so that risk of frailty decreases with greater number of healthy behaviors. These results suggest that healthy behaviors in midlife are a good target for frailty prevention.
Highlights
The expected doubling of people aged 60 or older by 2050 [1] makes costs of health and social care a major challenge for the 21st century [2]
Each healthy behavior at age 50 was associated with lower risk of incident frailty: hazard ratio (HR) after adjustment for other health behaviors and baseline characteristics 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44– 0.71; p < 0.001) in nonsmokers, 0.73 for moderate alcohol consumption, 0.66 for 2.5 hours of physical activity per week, and 0.76 for consumption of fruits or vegetables at least
Our findings suggest that healthy behaviors at age 50, as well as improvements in behaviors over midlife, are associated with a lower risk of frailty later in life
Summary
The expected doubling of people aged 60 or older by 2050 [1] makes costs of health and social care a major challenge for the 21st century [2]. One in four persons aged 85 years or older is frail [4], and this condition is associated with an increased risk of multiple health outcomes, including cognitive disorders [5], fracture [6], disability [7], admission to hospital and long-term care [8], and death [9], making it an important target for prevention [4]. Most previous studies were limited to individuals aged 60 or older and were either cross-sectional or had a short follow-up, so it is not possible to rule out reverse causation bias as an explanation for observed associations [27]. Health behaviors are thought to be a potential target for frailty prevention, but the evidence from previous studies is based on older populations with short follow-ups, making results susceptible to reverse causation bias. We examined the associations of healthy behaviors at age 50, singly and in combination, as well as 10-year change in the number of healthy behaviors over midlife with future risk of frailty
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