Abstract

BackgroundDespite increasing life expectancy (LE), cross-sectional data show widening inequalities in disability-free LE (DFLE) by socioeconomic status (SES) in many countries. We use longitudinal data to better understand trends in DFLE and years independent (IndLE) by SES, and how underlying transitions contribute.MethodsThe Cognitive Function and Ageing Studies (CFAS I and II) are large population-based studies of those aged ≥65 years in three English centres (Newcastle, Nottingham, Cambridgeshire), with baseline around 1991 (CFAS I, n = 7635) and 2011 (CFAS II, n = 7762) and 2-year follow-up. We defined disability as difficulty in activities of daily living (ADL), dependency by combining ADLs and cognition reflecting care required, and SES by area-level deprivation. Transitions between disability or dependency states and death were estimated from multistate models.ResultsBetween 1991 and 2011, gains in DFLE at age 65 were greatest for the most advantaged men and women [men: 4.7 years, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 3.3–6.2; women: 2.8 years, 95% CI 1.3–4.3]. Gains were due to the most advantaged women having a reduced risk of incident disability [relative risk ratio (RRR):0.7, 95% CI 0.5–0.8], whereas the most advantaged men had a greater likelihood of recovery (RRR: 1.8, 95% CI 1.0–3.2) and reduced disability-free mortality risk (RRR: 0.4, 95% CI 0.3–0.6]. Risk of death from disability decreased for least advantaged men (RRR: 0.7, 95% CI 0.6–0.9); least advantaged women showed little improvement in transitions. IndLE patterns across time were similar.ConclusionsPrevention should target the most disadvantaged areas, to narrow inequalities, with clear indication from the most advantaged that reduction in poor transitions is achievable.

Highlights

  • Countries worldwide are experiencing population ageing because of rising life expectancy (LE), but many do not experience healthy ageing

  • Compared with the gains in health expectancies experienced by the most advantaged men and women at age 65, the least advantaged men and women saw little change in the percentage of life spent disability free or independent at age 65, between 1991 and 2011

  • The least advantaged men in 2011 had a lower risk of death from disability/dependency than those in 1991, which resulted in more years spent with disability or dependency; in contrast, the least advantaged women did not experience any positive changes in transitions

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Summary

Introduction

Countries worldwide are experiencing population ageing because of rising life expectancy (LE), but many do not experience healthy ageing. Years lived in good health, or without disability, combining morbidity and mortality through health expectancies (HE), have increased over time in most countries worldwide. Despite increasing life expectancy (LE), cross-sectional data show widening inequalities in disability-free LE (DFLE) by socioeconomic status (SES) in many countries. We use longitudinal data to better understand trends in DFLE and years independent (IndLE) by SES, and how underlying transitions contribute. Gains were due to the most advantaged women having a reduced risk of incident disability [relative risk ratio (RRR):0.7, 95% CI 0.5–0.8], whereas the most advantaged men had a greater likelihood of recovery (RRR: 1.8, 95% CI 1.0–3.2) and reduced disability-free mortality risk

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